Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.025589 0.030700 0.036053 0.042036 0.048500 0.055238 0.062759
2025-11-30 0.017920 0.025126 0.033226 0.042807 0.053658 0.065421 0.078999
2025-12-07 0.013367 0.021703 0.031673 0.044005 0.058461 0.074551 0.093529
2025-12-14 0.010585 0.019698 0.031206 0.045959 0.063702 0.083830 0.107924
2025-12-21 0.008048 0.017446 0.030012 0.046686 0.067220 0.090905 0.119619
2025-12-28 0.007287 0.017480 0.031606 0.050737 0.074609 0.102397 0.136315
2026-01-04 0.004974 0.014691 0.029122 0.049386 0.075254 0.105828 0.143563
2026-01-11 0.003786 0.013412 0.028523 0.050319 0.078593 0.112360 0.154347
2026-01-18 0.002697 0.011987 0.027533 0.050602 0.081019 0.117723 0.163695
2026-01-25 0.001898 0.010855 0.026832 0.051171 0.083730 0.123374 0.173338
2026-02-01 0.001200 0.009615 0.025808 0.051187 0.085657 0.128013 0.181731
2026-02-08 0.000488 0.007719 0.023459 0.049159 0.084799 0.129134 0.185828
2026-02-15 0.000096 0.006056 0.021302 0.047357 0.084284 0.130796 0.190764
2026-02-22 0.000012 0.005446 0.020979 0.048248 0.087371 0.136988 0.201244
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005018 0.020938 0.049535 0.090979 0.143831 0.212522
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004860 0.021418 0.051614 0.095661 0.152033 0.225465
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004356 0.021089 0.052387 0.098528 0.157915 0.235554
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004842 0.022966 0.056683 0.106279 0.170038 0.253330
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003811 0.021304 0.055251 0.106044 0.171933 0.258495
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003468 0.021162 0.056241 0.109164 0.178111 0.268935
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003003 0.020626 0.056540 0.111287 0.182991 0.277757
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002646 0.020292 0.057143 0.113821 0.188389 0.287213
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002215 0.019641 0.057160 0.115491 0.192647 0.295236